D-backs at Guardians
Last play · Travis Bazzana strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
AZ 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 1 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Ryan Waldschmidt scores. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd. Gabriel Moreno to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Angel Martínez. (inning 8) — -39% D-backs
8Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.4–1
8Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Ryan Waldschmidt scores. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd. Gabriel Moreno to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Angel Martínez.3–1
8Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Tim Tawa scores. Ryan Waldschmidt to 3rd. Corbin Carroll to 2nd.1–1
1Rhys Hoskins singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. José Ramírez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
