Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN3–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 51-53 · CLE 54-50

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	6	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1

Last play · Daniel Schneemann flies out to left fielder Trevor Larnach.

Win probability

Guardians0%

MIN 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 1 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis to 2nd. (inning 12) — -26% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 4 total

12Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Royce Lewis scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd. Throwing error by left fielder Steven Kwan.3–1

12Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis to 2nd.2–1

8Alan Roden singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin. Royce Lewis scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.1–1

5Patrick Bailey homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.