Giants at Guardians
Last play · Drew Gilbert called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians100%
SF 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 7 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+178 / -192
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 1) — +24% Guardians
7Patrick Bailey grounds into a force out, shortstop Christian Koss to second baseman Osleivis Basabe. Angel Martínez scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Angel Genao out at 2nd. Patrick Bailey to 1st. Patrick Bailey advances to 1st, on a missed catch error by first baseman Bryce Eldridge, assist to second baseman Osleivis Basabe.1–8
4Angel Martínez grounds out, pitcher Carson Whisenhunt to first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Steven Kwan scores. Jo Adell to 3rd.1–7
4Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to left fielder Drew Gilbert. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Jo Adell to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Drew Gilbert.1–6
2Jo Adell singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonah Cox. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores.1–5
2Bryce Eldridge homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
1Jo Adell homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
