Giants at Guardians
Last play · Rafael Devers flies out to center fielder Petey Halpin.
Win probability
Guardians100%
SF 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+191 / -206
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 4) — -19% Giants
8Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Petey Halpin scores.2–5
6Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Patrick Bailey scores. Petey Halpin to 2nd.2–4
4Willy Adames homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Rafael Devers scores.2–3
1Patrick Bailey singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. José Ramírez scores. Angel Genao to 3rd.0–3
1Nathaniel Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Turner Hill. Travis Bazzana scores.0–2
1José Ramírez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Steven Kwan scores. Travis Bazzana to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
