Blue Jays at Guardians
Last play · Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
TOR 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 7 – 0 CLE
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 53.1% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-137 / +114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Angel Genao. Andrés Giménez scores. Myles Straw scores. Brett Bateman to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Angel Genao. (inning 2) — -18% Blue Jays
9Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Sean Keys scores. Charles McAdoo to 2nd.11–0
8Josh Smith homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.10–0
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Brett Bateman scores. George Springer to 3rd.9–0
6George Springer doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Myles Straw scores. Brett Bateman to 3rd.8–0
3Myles Straw doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd.7–0
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Brett Bateman scores. George Springer scores.6–0
2George Springer reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Angel Genao. Andrés Giménez scores. Myles Straw scores. Brett Bateman to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Angel Genao.3–0
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Brett Bateman scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
