Tigers at Guardians
Last play · José Ramírez pops out to second baseman Javier Báez.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 0 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+134 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — -17% Tigers
7Ben Malgeri singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin. Riley Greene scores.6–0
7Dillon Dingler out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Hao-Yu Lee scores.5–0
7Riley Greene doubles (27) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Gleyber Torres scores. Hao-Yu Lee to 3rd.4–0
6Riley Greene homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
3Riley Greene singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin. Gleyber Torres scores. Hao-Yu Lee out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Petey Halpin to second baseman Angel Genao.2–0
1Riley Greene homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
