Dodgers at Rockies
Last play · Troy Johnston flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
Win probability
Rockies0%
LAD 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 7 – 1 COL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 11 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-293 / +234
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -16% Dodgers
5Alex Freeland out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Andy Pages scores.7–1
5Max Muncy homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
4Troy Johnston grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Mickey Moniak scores.5–1
4Will Smith singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Kyle Tucker scores.5–0
3Andy Pages out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Freddie Freeman scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.4–0
3Max Muncy doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.3–0
2Max Muncy homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Will Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
