Dodgers at Rockies
Last play · Kyle Tucker flies out to left fielder Jordan Beck.
Win probability
Rockies100%
LAD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 2 COL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
12
opened 11 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-207 / +169
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Troy Johnston doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Hunter Goodman scores. Ezequiel Tovar scores. (inning 6) — +34% Rockies
6Troy Johnston doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Hunter Goodman scores. Ezequiel Tovar scores.3–4
2Kyle Karros out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Troy Johnston scores.3–2
2Dalton Rushing homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
1TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Mickey Moniak scores.2–1
1Kyle Tucker homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Shohei Ohtani scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
