Dodgers at Rockies
LAD6–
COL9Last play · Ryan Ward lines out to right fielder Troy Johnston.
Win probability
Rockies100%
LAD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 3 COL
Tied through 5
Total runs
12
opened 11 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-207 / +169
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mickey Moniak homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores. (inning 7) — +44% Rockies
9Dalton Rushing grounds out, second baseman Willi Castro to first baseman Edouard Julien. Will Smith scores. Max Muncy to 3rd. Andy Pages to 2nd.6–9
9Will Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Shohei Ohtani scores.5–9
8Mickey Moniak grounds into a force out, first baseman Ryan Ward to shortstop Hyeseong Kim. Brenton Doyle scores. Edouard Julien out at 2nd. Mickey Moniak to 1st.4–9
8Edouard Julien singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Willi Castro scores. Kyle Karros scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.4–8
7Tyler Freeman singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alex Call. Hunter Goodman scores.4–6
7Mickey Moniak homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores.4–5
6Alex Freeland singles on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Alex Call scores. Hyeseong Kim to 3rd.4–3
5Edouard Julien singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Jake McCarthy scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.