D-backs at Rockies
Last play · Geraldo Perdomo flies out to center fielder Brenton Doyle.
Win probability
Rockies100%
AZ 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 3 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 49.4% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-144 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brenton Doyle singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. (inning 8) — +12% Rockies
8Mickey Moniak hit by pitch. Brenton Doyle scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.2–4
5Corbin Carroll doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sterlin Thompson. Ketel Marte scores.2–3
2Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Kyle Karros scores. Jake McCarthy out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas.1–3
2James McCann lines out sharply to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jose Fernandez to 3rd.1–2
1Mickey Moniak singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt, deflected by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Brenton Doyle scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.0–2
1TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Willi Castro scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
