Rangers at Rockies
Last play · Troy Johnston pops out to third baseman Ezequiel Duran in foul territory.
Win probability
Rockies0%
TEX 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 8 – 0 COL
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 11 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-123 / +102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Duran doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by center fielder Brenton Doyle. Andrew McCutchen scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Josh Jung to 3rd. (inning 1) — -21% Rangers
8Ezequiel Duran doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Sam Haggerty scores. Josh Jung to 3rd.10–0
7Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Danny Jansen scores.9–0
5Justin Foscue out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Evan Carter scores.8–0
4Brandon Nimmo homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Justin Foscue scores.7–0
2Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Josh Jung scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd.5–0
2Ezequiel Duran singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Brandon Nimmo scores. Josh Jung to 2nd.4–0
2Brandon Nimmo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Joc Pederson scores.3–0
1Ezequiel Duran doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by center fielder Brenton Doyle. Andrew McCutchen scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Josh Jung to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
