Giants at Rockies
Last play · Sterlin Thompson lines out to shortstop Willy Adames.
Win probability
Rockies0%
SF 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 11 – 5 COL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 11
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-117 / -103
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Robbie Ray. Kyle Karros scores. Chad Stevens scores. Throwing error by pitcher Robbie Ray. (inning 4) — +21% Rockies
9Jesus Rodriguez homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Bryce Eldridge scores.19–6
8Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Rafael Devers scores.17–6
8Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Daniel Susac scores. Jonah Cox scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Rafael Devers advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by center fielder Tyler Freeman. Rafael Devers advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Juan Mejia.16–6
7Braxton Fulford singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Hunter Goodman scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd.14–6
7Jung Hoo Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Luis Arraez scores.14–5
7Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to left fielder Troy Johnston. Rafael Devers scores.13–5
6Bryce Eldridge homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.12–5
5Jake McCarthy out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Troy Johnston scores.11–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
