Giants at Rockies
Last play · Bryce Eldridge grounds out to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SF 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 5 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 11
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-117 / -103
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake McCarthy homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores. (inning 4) — +13% Rockies
9Matt Chapman singles on a line drive to left fielder Troy Johnston. Jung Hoo Lee scores.3–8
8Drew Gilbert homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryce Eldridge scores.2–8
7TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Jake McCarthy scores.0–8
7Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Tyler Freeman scores.0–7
7Kyle Karros homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.0–6
5Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Edouard Julien scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.0–5
4Jake McCarthy homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores.0–4
1Sterlin Thompson hit by pitch. Hunter Goodman scores. Willi Castro to 3rd. Ezequiel Tovar to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
