Giants at Rockies
Last play · Victor Bericoto grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Edouard Julien to first baseman Brett Sullivan. Bryce Eldridge out at 2nd. Victor Bericoto out at 1st.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SF 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 14 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 11.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake McCarthy homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 1) — +13% Rockies
8Ezequiel Tovar out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Kyle Karros scores.3–15
6Rafael Devers homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.3–14
5Tyler Freeman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Cole Carrigg scores.2–14
5Cole Carrigg triples (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Hunter Goodman scores. TJ Rumfield scores.2–13
5Jake McCarthy hits a grand slam (9) to right center field. Edouard Julien scores. Kyle Karros scores. Ezequiel Tovar scores.2–11
4Bryce Eldridge singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Jung Hoo Lee scores.2–7
3Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to right fielder Heliot Ramos. Edouard Julien scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.1–7
3Edouard Julien reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Luis Arraez. Cole Carrigg scores.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
