Giants at Rockies
Last play · Troy Johnston strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
SF 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 6 – 3 COL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
13
opened 13
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-129 / +107
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cole Carrigg homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Hunter Goodman scores. Tyler Freeman scores. (inning 1) — +27% Rockies
9TJ Rumfield singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Drew Gilbert. Cole Carrigg scores.6–4
3Bryce Eldridge homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.6–3
2Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Heliot Ramos scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.5–3
1Cole Carrigg homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Hunter Goodman scores. Tyler Freeman scores.4–3
1Bryce Eldridge doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Willy Adames scores.4–0
1Willy Adames doubles (21) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Casey Schmitt scores. Jung Hoo Lee scores.3–0
1Jung Hoo Lee grounds into a force out, second baseman Willi Castro to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Luis Arraez scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd. Rafael Devers out at 2nd. Jung Hoo Lee to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
