Giants at Rockies
Last play · Willy Adames strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SF 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 5 – 4 COL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
13
opened 13
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-129 / +107
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Karros homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. TJ Rumfield scores. Braxton Fulford scores. (inning 8) — +73% Rockies
8Kyle Karros homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. TJ Rumfield scores. Braxton Fulford scores.6–7
6Drew Gilbert singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Willy Adames scores. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.6–4
5Rafael Devers homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
5Casey Schmitt homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.4–4
4Rafael Devers homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
3Troy Johnston out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Hunter Goodman scores.2–4
2Brett Sullivan doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Edouard Julien scores.2–3
2Drew Gilbert homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Willy Adames scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
