Nationals at Rockies
Last play · Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies100%
WSH 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 6 – 6 COL
Tied through 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-148 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (31) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +29% Rockies
8Hunter Goodman homers (31) on a fly ball to left center field.7–8
7Jorbit Vivas out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. James Wood scores.7–7
6Mickey Moniak homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.6–7
5TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Hunter Goodman scores.6–6
4James Wood doubles (24) on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nasim Nuñez scores.6–5
3Kyle Karros grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr. Willi Castro scores.4–5
3CJ Abrams homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field. José Tena scores.4–4
2Cole Carrigg singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Jake McCarthy scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
