Dodgers at Rockies
Last play · Jordan Beck flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Rockies0%
LAD 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 7 – 1 COL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 12 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-193 / +179
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Freddie Freeman scores. Andy Pages scores. (inning 3) — -21% Dodgers
9Zac Veen doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Adael Amador scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd.11–5
9Ezequiel Tovar out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. TJ Rumfield scores.11–4
9Adael Amador singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Willi Castro scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.11–3
8Freddie Freeman doubles (29) on a line drive to left fielder Zac Veen. Shohei Ohtani scores.11–2
7Brett Sullivan out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Connor Norby scores.10–2
6Andy Pages singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Freddie Freeman scores.10–1
6Shohei Ohtani homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Tommy Edman scores.9–1
5Mookie Betts grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Andy Pages scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
