Guardians at Rockies
Last play · Zac Veen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
CLE 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 1 COL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 11
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-129 / +120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis Bazzana singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Angel Genao scores. (inning 4) — -26% Guardians
9Travis Bazzana singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Beck. Nathaniel Lowe scores.9–1
7Patrick Bailey homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Travis Bazzana scores.8–1
6Steven Kwan grounds out, shortstop Willi Castro to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Travis Bazzana scores. Petey Halpin to 2nd.5–1
5Jo Adell singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 2nd.4–1
4Travis Bazzana singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Angel Genao scores.3–1
3Petey Halpin homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Willi Castro singles on a ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Jake McCarthy scores. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
