Guardians at Rockies
Last play · Ezequiel Tovar lines out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Rockies0%
CLE 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 6 – 2 COL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 11
fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-158 / +147
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rockies favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase DeLauter triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Beck, deflected by center fielder Cole Carrigg. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 1) — -12% Guardians
8Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Angel Martínez scores.7–2
4Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Chase DeLauter scores.6–2
2Ryan Ritter grounds out, third baseman Angel Genao to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Jordan Beck scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd.5–2
2Brett Sullivan doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Connor Norby scores. Jordan Beck to 3rd.5–1
2Jo Adell doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Steven Kwan scores. Chase DeLauter to 3rd.5–0
2Chase DeLauter singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.4–0
1Angel Martínez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Beck. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Angel Martínez out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jordan Beck to first baseman Connor Norby to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman Connor Norby. Travis Bazzana to 3rd.3–0
1Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Chase DeLauter scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
