Marlins at Tigers
Last play · Agustín Ramírez flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Javier Báez homers (1) on a line drive to left field. (inning 5) — +17% Tigers
5Javier Báez homers (1) on a line drive to left field.0–2
2Spencer Torkelson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Javier Sanoja. Dillon Dingler scores. Kerry Carpenter to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
