Marlins at Tigers
Last play · Jakob Marsee grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 5 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.8% · hold 4.4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores. Dillon Dingler scores. (inning 3) — +14% Tigers
8Spencer Torkelson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Riley Greene scores.1–6
4Connor Norby out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.1–5
3Riley Greene homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores. Dillon Dingler scores.0–5
1Riley Greene singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Colt Keith scores.0–2
1Colt Keith doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Kevin McGonigle scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
