Royals at Tigers
Last play · Lane Thomas flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Tigers100%
KC 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wenceel Pérez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — +38% Tigers
8Wenceel Pérez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
5Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Michael Massey scores. Jac Caglianone to 3rd.1–1
3Tigers challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Jake Rogers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Javier Báez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
