Last play · Dillon Dingler lines out sharply to right fielder Luis Matos.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIL 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
MIL 3 – 1 DET
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-108 / -112
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Vierling. Luis Rengifo scores. Sal Frelick scores. David Hamilton out at home on the throw, right fielder Matt Vierling to first baseman Spencer Torkelson to shortstop Kevin McGonigle to second baseman Gleyber Torres to catcher Dillon Dingler. Brice Turang to 2nd. (inning 2) — -18% Brewers
9Matt Vierling doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Wenceel Pérez scores. Kevin McGonigle scores.12–4
9Kevin McGonigle singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Luis Matos. Colt Keith scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd.12–2
8Gary Sánchez grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. William Contreras scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd.12–1
8Jake Bauers doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Blake Perkins scores. William Contreras to 3rd.11–1
8William Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. David Hamilton scores. Blake Perkins to 2nd.10–1
8Brice Turang out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Sal Frelick scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.9–1
8Blake Perkins hit by pitch. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. David Hamilton to 2nd.8–1
8Luis Rengifo singles on a fly ball to right fielder Matt Vierling. Garrett Mitchell scores.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.