Rangers at Tigers
Last play · Kevin McGonigle grounds out, first baseman Jake Burger to pitcher Jacob Latz.
Win probability
Tigers0%
TEX 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 4 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+103 / -124
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Osuna doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Kerry Carpenter. Jake Burger scores. (inning 8) — -26% Rangers
8Alejandro Osuna doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Kerry Carpenter. Jake Burger scores.5–4
5Riley Greene grounds into a force out, second baseman Josh Smith to shortstop Corey Seager. Kerry Carpenter scores. Dillon Dingler out at 2nd. Riley Greene to 1st.4–4
4Hao-Yu Lee singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Ezequiel Duran. Spencer Torkelson scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd.4–3
4Wenceel Pérez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. Jahmai Jones scores. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.4–2
3Joc Pederson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jahmai Jones. Evan Carter scores.4–0
3Josh Jung singles on a line drive to left fielder Jahmai Jones. Brandon Nimmo scores. Evan Carter to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.3–0
3Danny Jansen homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
1Josh Jung singles on a line drive to left fielder Jahmai Jones. Brandon Nimmo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
