Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Spencer Torkelson doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Matt Vierling scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd.
Win probability
Tigers100%
TOR 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 1 DET
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 2) — -24% Blue Jays
9Spencer Torkelson doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Matt Vierling scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd.2–3
6Riley Greene doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Dillon Dingler scores.2–2
3Riley Greene flies out to second baseman Ernie Clement.2–1
2Andrés Giménez doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Ernie Clement scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
