Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
TOR 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 0 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-101 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 10) — -26% Blue Jays
10Daulton Varsho singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.2–1
7Yohendrick Piñango homers (1) on a line drive to right field.1–1
6Matt Vierling homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
