Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Zach McKinstry grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 1 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+134 / -162
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Chase DeLauter scores. (inning 3) — -14% Guardians
9José Ramírez homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.8–2
8Matt Vierling homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.7–2
6José Ramírez doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Steven Kwan scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.7–1
6Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Travis Bazzana scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.5–1
5Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Angel Martínez scores.4–1
5Chase DeLauter grounds into a force out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to shortstop Zack Short. Brayan Rocchio scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Chase DeLauter to 1st.3–1
3Rhys Hoskins doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Chase DeLauter scores.2–1
3Chase DeLauter grounds into a force out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to shortstop Zack Short. Brayan Rocchio scores. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Chase DeLauter to 1st.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
