Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 3 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-163 / +135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis Bazzana homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Kyle Manzardo scores. (inning 4) — -26% Guardians
7Brayan Rocchio grounds out, shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Steven Kwan scores.4–3
4Zack Short strikes out swinging.3–3
4Travis Bazzana homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Kyle Manzardo scores.3–2
2Spencer Torkelson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Riley Greene scores.1–2
2Steven Kwan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Kyle Manzardo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
