Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Matt Vierling strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 0 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+108 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Bailey homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — -16% Guardians
8Dillon Dingler homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
8Patrick Bailey homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
3José Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Daniel Schneemann scores.2–0
3Daniel Schneemann doubles (9) on a fly ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Brayan Rocchio scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
