Angels at Tigers
Last play · Jahmai Jones pops out to second baseman Oswald Peraza.
Win probability
Tigers0%
LAA 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 3 – 1 DET
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Sebastián Rivero scores. Donovan Walton to 3rd. (inning 5) — -16% Angels
9Mike Trout doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Donovan Walton scores. Zach Neto scores.7–1
8Jorge Soler singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Vaughn Grissom scores.5–1
8Vaughn Grissom doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd.4–1
5Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Donovan Walton scores. Zach Neto to 3rd.3–1
5Zach Neto doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Sebastián Rivero scores. Donovan Walton to 3rd.2–1
5Sebastián Rivero singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Jo Adell scores.1–1
2Wenceel Pérez homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
