Angels at Tigers
Last play · Jorge Soler grounds out, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to pitcher Brenan Hanifee.
Win probability
Tigers100%
LAA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 49.7% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / -112
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +15% Tigers
7Riley Greene strikes out swinging.0–4
5Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Kevin McGonigle scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Riley Greene to 2nd. Riley Greene advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Jo Adell.0–3
2Spencer Torkelson homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Dillon Dingler singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Colt Keith scores. Dillon Dingler out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Mike Trout to shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Vaughn Grissom to second baseman Oswald Peraza to first baseman Vaughn Grissom. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
