White Sox at Tigers
Last play · Tristan Peters strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CWS 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 2 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+171 / -209
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Dillon Dingler scores. Riley Greene scores. (inning 6) — +34% Tigers
6Kerry Carpenter doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Dillon Dingler scores. Riley Greene scores.3–4
6Junior Perez homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
5White Sox challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Tristan Peters grounds into a force out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to shortstop Kevin McGonigle. Sam Antonacci scores. Luisangel Acuña out at 2nd. Tristan Peters to 1st.2–2
1Matt Vierling homers (5) on a line drive to center field. Dillon Dingler scores.1–2
1Randal Grichuk homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
