White Sox at Tigers
Last play · Matt Vierling singles on a fly ball to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CWS 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-101 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dillon Dingler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Junior Perez. Jahmai Jones scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Tigers
10Matt Vierling singles on a fly ball to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.4–5
10Spencer Torkelson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Junior Perez. Kerry Carpenter scores. Riley Greene to 3rd.4–4
10Tristan Peters out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Jacob Gonzalez scores.4–3
9Dillon Dingler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Junior Perez. Jahmai Jones scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.3–3
8Dillon Dingler homers (18) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
7Tristan Peters hits a ground-rule double (16) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Braden Montgomery scores. Edgar Quero to 3rd.3–1
6Luisangel Acuña homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Tristan Peters scores.2–1
5Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Colt Keith scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
