Yankees at Tigers
Last play · Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Jasson Domínguez.
Win probability
Tigers0%
NYY 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 2 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.1% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jasson Domínguez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores. (inning 6) — -29% Yankees
6Jasson Domínguez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores.4–2
4Ben Malgeri out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jasson Domínguez. Spencer Torkelson scores. Hao-Yu Lee to 3rd.2–2
3Paul Goldschmidt homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to center fielder Max Schuemann. Spencer Torkelson scores. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.1–1
1Paul Goldschmidt homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
