Athletics at Tigers
Last play · Nick Kurtz flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Tigers100%
ATH 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+187 / -231
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores. (inning 1) — +17% Tigers
7Shea Langeliers singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Henry Bolte scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.2–6
6Kevin McGonigle singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Matt Vierling scores.1–6
6Matt Vierling doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Spencer Torkelson scores. Ben Malgeri scores.1–5
6Ben Malgeri doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Zach McKinstry scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.1–3
3Henry Bolte homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Colt Keith homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
