Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Kevin McGonigle grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 3 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+116 / -124
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. José Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — -31% Guardians
8Max Clark strikes out on a foul tip.6–4
7Austin Hedges singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corey Julks. Angel Genao scores.6–3
7Angel Genao doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Corey Julks. Angel Martínez scores.5–3
5Jo Adell homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. José Ramírez scores.4–3
3Gleyber Torres homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
1Spencer Torkelson doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Dillon Dingler scores. Hao-Yu Lee scores.2–2
1Angel Martínez doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Ben Malgeri. Chase DeLauter scores.2–0
1Jo Adell grounds into a double play, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Steven Kwan scores. Chase DeLauter to 3rd. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Jo Adell out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
