Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Jo Adell lines out sharply to left fielder Zach McKinstry.
Win probability
Tigers100%
CLE 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / +101
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eduardo Valencia homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +11% Tigers
8Spencer Torkelson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jo Adell. Kevin McGonigle scores. Colt Keith to 2nd.0–3
6Eduardo Valencia homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
3Dillon Dingler grounds out, third baseman Angel Genao to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Javier Báez scores. Ben Malgeri to 3rd. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
