White Sox at Tigers
CWS9–
DET5Last play · Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CWS 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 6 – 3 DET
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -134
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Malgeri homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Spencer Torkelson scores. (inning 2) — +25% Tigers
8Miguel Vargas homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.9–5
7Gleyber Torres grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Max Clark scores.8–5
7Ben Malgeri homers (3) on a line drive to left field.8–4
6Miguel Vargas homers (26) on a fly ball to left field. Munetaka Murakami scores.8–3
4Braden Montgomery triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Max Clark. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores.6–3
4Munetaka Murakami homers (27) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
4Tristan Peters homers (7) on a line drive to right center field. Chase Meidroth scores.3–3
3Eduardo Valencia doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Kevin McGonigle scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.