Rays at Tigers

Scoreboard

TB4–DET1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Comerica Park · TB 78-53 · DET 61-70

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	9	0
DET	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1

Last play · Spencer Torkelson called out on strikes.

Win probability

Tigers0%

TB 100%DET 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 3 – 1 DET

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-135 / +126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Tigers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -17% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–DET · 5 total

6Jonathan Aranda homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1

4Brett Callahan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Kevin McGonigle scores.3–1

4Chandler Simpson singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Kevin McGonigle. Jorge Mateo scores.3–0

1Jonathan Aranda grounds into a force out, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to shortstop Javier Báez. Ryan Vilade scores. Jonny DeLuca out at 2nd. Jonathan Aranda to 1st.2–0

1Junior Caminero grounds out, shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Yandy Díaz scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.