Dodgers at Tigers
Last play · Ben Malgeri strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
LAD 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-180 / +168
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Max Clark. Teoscar Hernández scores. (inning 8) — -26% Dodgers
8Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Max Clark. Teoscar Hernández scores.2–1
6Miguel Rojas singles on a line drive to center fielder Max Clark. Enrique Hernández scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.1–1
5Max Clark triples (3) on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Eduardo Valencia scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
