Dodgers at Tigers
Last play · Kevin McGonigle singles on a fly ball to center fielder Enrique Hernández. Javier Báez scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.
Win probability
Tigers100%
LAD 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-181 / +168
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Alek Thomas scores. (inning 6) — -17% Dodgers
9Kevin McGonigle singles on a fly ball to center fielder Enrique Hernández. Javier Báez scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.1–2
6Freddie Freeman singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Alek Thomas scores.1–1
3Gleyber Torres hits a ground-rule double (12) on a fly ball to right-center field. Javier Báez scores. Max Clark to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
