Cardinals at Astros

Scoreboard

STL7–HOU5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · STL 12-8 · HOU 8-14

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	7	10	0
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	4	1

Last play · Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

STL 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 4 – 1 HOU

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+124 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd. Nolan Gorman to 2nd. Nolan Gorman advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Cam Smith. (inning 1) — -21% Cardinals

Scoring plays

STL–HOU · 8 total

9Shay Whitcomb homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Cam Smith scores. Christian Vázquez scores.7–5

8Christian Walker grounds into a double play, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Carlos Correa out at 2nd. Christian Walker out at 1st.7–2

8JJ Wetherholt singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Shay Whitcomb.7–1

7Alec Burleson homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1

6José Fermín homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1

3Masyn Winn homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Gorman scores.4–1

1Yordan Alvarez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.2–1

1Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd. Nolan Gorman to 2nd. Nolan Gorman advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Cam Smith.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.