Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA3–HOU1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SEA 20-22 · HOU 16-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	9	0

Last play · Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

SEA 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 3 – 1 HOU

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-180 / +148

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Cole. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 2nd. (inning 2) — -15% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 4 total

5Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by shortstop J.P. Crawford. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.3–1

3Julio Rodríguez homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.3–0

2Cole Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Luke Raley scores. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.2–0

2Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Cole. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.