Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA10–HOU2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SEA 21-22 · HOU 16-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	2	0	4	1	0	1	0	2	10	11	0
HOU	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0

Last play · Brice Matthews flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.

Win probability

Astros0%

SEA 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 7 – 2 HOU

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-130 / +108

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone hits a grand slam (4) to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley scores. J.P. Crawford scores. (inning 4) — -43% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 8 total

9Dominic Canzone out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.10–2

9J.P. Crawford walks. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Luke Raley to 2nd.9–2

7Randy Arozarena doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Cal Raleigh scores.8–2

5J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Randy Arozarena scores.7–2

4Dominic Canzone hits a grand slam (4) to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley scores. J.P. Crawford scores.6–2

3Christian Walker doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.2–2

2Braden Shewmake singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Zach Dezenzo scores.2–1

2Randy Arozarena homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Cal Raleigh scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.