Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA8–HOU3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SEA 22-23 · HOU 17-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	3	0	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	8	11	0
HOU	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	5	0

Last play · Zach Cole called out on strikes.

Win probability

Astros0%

SEA 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 5 – 1 HOU

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-119 / -102

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Luke Raley homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Brendan Donovan scores. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — -28% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 6 total

8J.P. Crawford doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Brice Matthews. Luke Raley scores.8–3

6Braden Shewmake doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Yordan Alvarez scores. Christian Walker scores.7–3

6Cole Young doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Dominic Canzone scores. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young to 3rd.7–1

4Mitch Garver homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.5–1

3Yordan Alvarez homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.3–1

1Luke Raley homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Brendan Donovan scores. Randy Arozarena scores.3–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.