Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA3–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SEA 21-23 · HOU 17-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	8	1
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	4	12	1

Last play · Zach Cole singles on a ground ball to right fielder Connor Joe. Brice Matthews scores.

Win probability

Astros100%

SEA 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 1 – 0 HOU

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-119 / -102

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez walks. Rob Refsnyder scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd. J.P. Crawford to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 7 total

10Zach Cole singles on a ground ball to right fielder Connor Joe. Brice Matthews scores.3–4

9Julio Rodríguez walks. Rob Refsnyder scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.3–3

8Jose Altuve out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brice Matthews scores. Zach Cole to 3rd.2–3

6Jose Altuve walks. Braden Shewmake scores. Brice Matthews to 3rd. Zach Cole to 2nd.2–2

6Christian Walker homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.2–1

6Luke Raley homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.2–0

1J.P. Crawford homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.