Rangers at Astros

Scoreboard

TEX1–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · TEX 21-24 · HOU 19-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	0
HOU	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	·	4	5	0

Last play · Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop Braden Shewmake to second baseman Nick Allen. Andrew McCutchen out at 2nd.

Win probability

Astros100%

TEX 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TEX 0 – 4 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-155 / +128

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — +13% Astros

Scoring plays

TEX–HOU · 5 total

7Joc Pederson singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Brice Matthews. Jake Burger scores. Justin Foscue to 2nd.1–4

4Zach Cole homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–4

4Christian Walker homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3

1Yordan Alvarez homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.0–2

1Jose Altuve homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.