Brewers at Astros

Scoreboard

MIL5–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · MIL 34-20 · HOU 26-33

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
MIL	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	5	4	2
HOU	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6	0

Last play · Cam Smith strikes out on a foul tip.

Win probability

Astros0%

MIL 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 3 – 4 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-117 / -103

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Brice Turang out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Christian Yelich scores. (inning 10) — -26% Brewers

Scoring plays

MIL–HOU · 8 total

10Brice Turang out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Christian Yelich scores.5–4

8Jake Bauers grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 2nd.4–4

5Jackson Chourio homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Christian Yelich scores.3–4

4Nick Allen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Braden Shewmake scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.1–4

4Jake Meyers doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Christian Walker scores. Braden Shewmake to 3rd.1–3

4Cam Smith doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Yordan Alvarez scores. Christian Walker to 3rd.1–2

3David Hamilton homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1

2Cam Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.