Pirates at Astros

Scoreboard

PIT10–HOU6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · PIT 33-28 · HOU 27-35

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	2	0	0	0	4	0	3	1	10	12	0
HOU	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	9	2

Last play · Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

PIT 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 4 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-144 / +119

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales scores. (inning 6) — -45% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–HOU · 8 total

9Yordan Alvarez singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Nick Gonzales. Christian Vázquez scores.10–6

9Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Mangum. Jake Meyers scores. Christian Vázquez to 2nd.10–5

9Endy Rodríguez doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Nick Gonzales scores.10–4

8Brandon Lowe homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Mangum scores. Jared Triolo scores.9–4

6Jake Mangum hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by third baseman Isaac Paredes. Endy Rodríguez scores. Jake Mangum to 1st.6–4

6Oneil Cruz homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales scores.5–4

4Jeremy Peña lines into a force out, left fielder Bryan Reynolds to catcher Endy Rodríguez to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Brice Matthews scores. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd. Jeremy Peña to 1st.2–4

3Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.2–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.